UN Decreases Estimate of Total Dead Gaza Women and Children by Half; Decreases Total Dead by almost 10,000

14 Tuesday May 2024

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According to UN (OCHAO-PT) data, half of the women and children alleged to have died between October 7th 2023 and April 30th 2024 were either raised from the dead between May 6th and 8th or never died in the first place. They furthermore reduced the total dead by almost 10,000 (9,891). These disparities are apparently based on conflicting Islamic terrorist (Hamas) government statistics. It is important to note that approximately 3,000 (mostly elderly and children) would have died in this time frame without the war.

Notice that on May 8th, the number of women and children, who allegedly died in Gaza, are half the number given two days earlier on May 6th 2024.

https://web.archive.org/web/20240508172931/https://www.ochaopt.org/content/hostilities-gaza-strip-and-israel-reported-impact-day-215

https://web.archive.org/web/20240506223001/https://www.ochaopt.org/content/hostilities-gaza-strip-and-israel-reported-impact-day-213

The UN is still using the data of the Islamic terrorist (Hamas) run Ministry of Health in Gaza and Hamas run Gaza Media Organization (GMO). On May 6th 2024, using Islamic terrorist Hamas GMO data, the UN reported 34,735 fatalities including 9,500 women (source: GMO), 14,500 children (source: GMO). They further stated that this doesn’t include more than 10,000 alleged to be dead or missing under rubble (which would include collapsed tunnels where only Islamic terrorist fighters and hostages were allowed), based on GMO and an unclear source of data (PCl? PCI?). So, actually, the May 6th UN data suggests that there were over 44,000 dead!

However, on May 8th 2024, a great raising of the dead appears to have occurred! Suddenly, there were 34,844 reported deaths of which 24,686 were claimed to have been identifed as of 30th April as 10,006 men (40%) 4,959 women (20%), 7,797 children (32%) 1,924 elderly (8%). Recall that teenagers are called “children” now. The UN chart is from October 7th to April 30th. In this period approximately 3,000 would have died anyway from old age, etc.

According to Israeli PM Netanyahu, Israel has killed 14,000 terrorists and accidentally killed an estimated 16,000 civilians leading to a total of 30,000 killed. This suggests that a large number of Hamas and Islamic Jihad fighters are “children” or under the rubble, if one believes the UN-Hamas Ministry of Health breakdown.

Notice that the statistics start on October 7th, but that’s the day that Hamas and Islamic Jihad launched a massive invasion of Israel where they massacred and kidnapped Israelis, including Arab Israelis, as well as foreign workers. Israel didn’t launch its operation against Hamas until days later. Hamas run GMO also alleged that over 10,000 are missing or dead under rubble. Under the rubble would be Hamas and Islamic Jihad fighters who died during tunnel collapse. Some missing may be in Israeli prisons, as well.

These appear to be some of the alleged “missing”: “More than 1,000 Hamas members being treated in Turkey, says Erdogan” by Nataliya Vasilyeva, The Telegraph https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world/more-than-1-000-hamas-members-being-treated-in-turkey-says-erdogan/ar-BB1mjp3V It seems that either Egypt has allowed injured Hamas fighters to enter or that they were carried through tunnels to Egypt.

When recently interviewed by “Dr. Phil”, Netanyahu stated that they have killed 14,000 terrorists and that an estimated 16,000 civilians have been accidentally killed (26:34). At 30:21 Netanyahu says that they’ve destroyed about 20 Hamas terrorist battalions and have “another four to go. They’re in Rafah and that’s why we want to go into Rafah because we can’t leave them there” because if they leave “in place these battalions and leave their leadership in place and then they go in and take over Gaza again and do it again they’ll rape, they’ll kidnap hostages and they’ll murder again and again and again so we don’t want that. That’s why we have to achieve victory and that means that we have to take destroy all these battalions which we will…” See: “Dr Phil’s Exclusive Interview with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu” May 9, 2024: https://youtu.be/wX6Mk0HndLs

According to Israeli Defense Forces (IDF), as reported by the Jerusalem Post (13 Nov 2023), at the beginning of the war, Hamas had 30,000 men organized as 24 battalions and 5 regional brigades. Thus, each battalion had more than 1,000 men. Islamic Jihad had less than 10,000. Read: “IDF in Gaza: Israel breaks through 10 out of 24 Hamas battalions” By YONAH JEREMY BOB  Published: NOVEMBER 13, 2023 17:58 Updated: NOVEMBER 14, 2023 https://jpost.com/israel-news/defense-news/article-773066

“How the Gaza Ministry of Health Fakes Casualty Numbers: The evidence is in their own poorly fabricated figures” BY ABRAHAM WYNER MARCH 06, 2024 https://www.tabletmag.com/sections/news/articles/how-gaza-health-ministry-fakes-casualty-numbers

“United Nations cuts estimates of women, children deaths in Gaza war in half” Updated 6:56 pm EDT May. 13, 2024, USA Today https://eu.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2024/05/13/un-cuts-estimates-women-children-deaths-gaza/73669560007/

An estimated 5,341 – 6,215 individuals would have died of natural causes in a 12 month period, based on 2020 Palestinian Authority statistics for the Gaza strip (5,341) and an estimated 3/1,000 mortality rate and a 2023 population of 2,098,389 (6,215) https://web.archive.org/web/20231010111109/https://www.pcbs.gov.ps/statisticsIndicatorsTables.aspx?lang=en&table_id=854

According to Wikipedia:
Gaza population “Current: 2,098,389 (2023 est.)”
Mortality rate: estimated as 3/1,000 for Gaza.
“0–14 years: 44.1% (male 415,746/female 394,195)
15–24 years: 21.3% (male 197,797/female 194,112)
25–54 years: 28.5% (male 256,103/female 267,285)
55–64 years: 3.5% (male 33,413/female 30,592)
65 years and over: 2.6% (male 24,863/female 22,607) (2018 est.) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_the_State_of_Palestine

According to Statistica, the breakdown according to age for 0-19 years is:
0-4: 278,511
5-9: 279,047
10-14: 274,493
15-19: 255,642
Total – 0-19 is 1,087,693:
– https://www.statista.com/statistics/1423040/gaza-age-structure-of-population/
15-19 (255,642) is 25% of 0-19 population half of whom would be girls.

The age of criminal responsibility is approximately 12, and the fighters may well include boys younger than 15. Likely fighters would be males age 15 and up.

If total known dead are 24,844, then women (4,959) are 20% of the dead and 7,797 are children (31%). However, if the child deaths reflected the overall age breakdown, then of these 7,797, an estimated 12.5% would be boys in the 15-19 year old group or 975. 6,822 could be ages 0-14 and girls 15-19. So, as many as 27% could be non-fighting children. Nonetheless, it’s more likely that a disproportionate number are older teenage fighters.

These figures exclude those alleged missing or under the rubble, which allegedly brings the total up by 10,000, and could be Hamas or Islamic Jihad fighters hiding in tunnels or in buildings, whether dead or alive. At least one top Hamas leader is reported to have had his Hamas fighter son, and grandchildren killed. That the married terrorists make at least one of their wives and children remain in war zones, rather than evacuate, should not be surprising.

Islamic terrorists killed are now estimated as 14,000. The estimate given on the IDF web site is more than 12,000 terrorists eliminated (undated post): https://www.idf.il/ar/جيش-الدفاع-الإسرائيلي/الحرب-ضد-حماس/swordsofiron-070424-01/ Approximately two months ago, Netanyahu gave the figure of 13,000. Last week he gave the figure of 14,000 on Dr. Phil.

People do have the right of self-defense against child soldiers under the age of 18. More generally, the age of criminal responsibility in non-combat situations is 12 years old in Israel and Jordan and younger in some Muslim countries: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Age_of_criminal_responsibility

“Gaza Fatality Data Has Become Completely Unreliable” by Gabriel Epstein Mar 26, 2024 https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/gaza-fatality-data-has-become-completely-unreliable

“The UN attributed its original, higher figures to the Hamas-controlled Government Media Office (GMO) in Gaza, whose figures OCHA has cited continually for the past two months. The UN gave no source for the lower figures in its May 8 update, but the figures precisely match those in a May 2 report from a different Hamas-controlled organization, the Gaza Ministry of Health” May 11, 2024 | Flash Brief “UN Halves Its Estimate of Women and Children Killed in Gaza” https://www.fdd.org/analysis/2024/05/11/un-halves-its-estimate-of-women-and-children-killed-in-gaza/

“The Strip’s population has continued to increase since that time, mainly due to a total fertility rate which peaked at 8.3 children per woman in 1991. This fell to 4.4 children per woman in 2013 which was still among the highest worldwide.[301][323] In a ranking by total fertility rate, this places Gaza 34th of 224 regions.[301][323] This leads to the Gaza Strip having an unusually high proportion of children in the population, with 43.5% of the population being 14 or younger and a median age in 2014 of 18, compared to a world average of 28, and 30 in Israel. The only countries with a lower median age are countries in Africa such as Uganda where it was 15.[323]” https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gaza_Strip

BBC admitted that its figures were misleading, but have carried on misleading the public.
“BBC News (10pm), BBC One, 14 January 2024
25 April 2024
Complaint
This bulletin included a report on the vigil held in Tel Aviv to mark the hundredth day of the Israel-Gaza conflict.  A viewer complained that the report gave an inaccurate impression of the number of civilians killed in Gaza by failing to make clear that the figure it quoted included combatants as well as civilians.  The ECU considered the complaint in the light of the BBC’s editorial standards of accuracy.

Outcome
Approximately two minutes into the report, the reporter said “And the number of civilians killed in Gaza has been huge – very nearly 24,000 dead, according to the Hamas-run Health Ministry, many of them women and children”.  A previous response to the complainant had transcribed the passage with a full stop after “huge” and suggested it should be understood as two separate sentences conveying distinct thoughts.  In the ECU’s judgement it was more probable that viewers would have heard the passage as a single sentence.  But even if a full stop were the correct punctuation, the passage gave the unintended impression that the figure from the Hamas-run Health Ministry consisted only of civilian dead, whereas it also included combatants, and the ECU thought this impression unlikely to have been counteracted by the reference in the studio introduction two minutes earlier to “more than 23,000 people” having been killed in Gaza.  The result fell below the BBC’s standards of accuracy.

Upheld
Further action
The programme team has been made aware of the finding, which has been reported to the Board of BBC News. https://web.archive.org/web/20240425193347/https://www.bbc.co.uk/contact/ecu/bbc-news-10pm-bbc-one-14-january-2024

“BBC admits Gaza figures were misleading” https://youtu.be/w9Es-F2YUTQ

“US reveals it paused shipment of bombs for Israel over Rafah concerns By Jaroslav Lukiv, BBC News “More than 34,780 people have been killed in Gaza since then, according to the territory’s Hamas-run health ministry.” https://archive.is/NOBBI

Based on the UN’s sudden decrease by half of estimated women and children, who have died, our blog observation that Hamas would inflate numbers by doubling them seems largely true.

In the current case, however, it was apparently the Hamas run Gaza Media Org (GMO) that seemingly doubled the numbers given by the Hamas-run Ministry of Health.

Excerpts from our March 8, 2024 post: https://miningawareness.wordpress.com/2024/03/18/idf-counter-terrorism-operation-in-al-shifa-hospital-gaza-hamas-terrorism-coordinator-faiq-al-mabhouh-killed-newborns-evacuated-to-egypt/
The news media, including the BBC continue to stupidly report the claims of Islamic terrorist Hamas’ “health service” or “health ministry”, regarding civilian deaths, as though they were “gospel truth”. From last October, the IDF has painstakingly attempted to evacuate civilians and notify people before individual buildings were destroyed. If not, the war would have been over long ago. Recall that there are Arabs serving in the IDF, as well as Jews. The Hamas casualty figures are believed by mathematical experts to be totally fake [1], and the true numbers are unknown. That Hamas would simply fabricate numbers, appears probable from a common sense perspective, as well. Furthermore, Hamas fighters include “child” soldiers under 18, so to speak of dead children is misleading. In both Israeli and Jordanian law (and tradition), those over 12 bear criminal responsibility for their actions. Nonetheless, based on what is known, we suggest that an estimated 12,000 civilians have died as well as 12,000 or more Hamas et al. fighters, though this may well be an overestimate of civilian deaths and underestimate of Hamas et al. fighter deaths. [2]

Everyone forgets that Hamas and other Islamic terrorists are welcomed to put up the white flag and surrender, as well as return the hostages, anytime they want.

Anyone repeating the numbers given by the Hamas run “health service” as truth, either isn’t thinking, is intentionally misleading the public or is stark raving mad.

Blog notes on Hamas/Islamic Jihad fighter and civilian deaths:

[1] https://www.jns.org/hamas-fakes-casualty-figures-the-numbers-are-not-real/

[2] As noted above, the news media continues to stupidly repeat the claims of Islamic terrorist Hamas, regarding civilian deaths. The IDF painstakingly attempted to evacuate civilians and notify people before individual buildings were destroyed. If they hadn’t, the war would have been over long ago. While the Hamas “health ministry” numbers probably are fake, one can also do estimates based on regional merchant culture, i.e. price negotiations, and estimate that there are 12,000 civilians who have died as well as 12,000 or more Hamas fighters. Hamas fighters include “child” soldiers under 18. In both Israeli and Jordanian law (and tradition), those over 12 bear criminal responsibility for their actions.

Around the 19th of February, a Hamas official in Qatar allegedly told Reuters that they had lost 6,000 fighters. Hamas doesn’t distinguish civilians from non-civilians. At the time it claimed that a total of 30,000 had been killed. This means Hamas would be claiming that 24,000 civilians died, when they said that they had lost 6,000 fighters – if they even have a clue of how many died. A socio-cultural interpretation of this means that the true figure would most likely be 12,000 civilians who have died. If you believe Israel’s estimate that the IDF had killed 12,000 Hamas fighters then it’s indeed a one to one ratio, which is considered a very low civilian death rate for dense urban warfare, according to experts. If you believe both sides are exaggerating equally, then the midway point/average of 6,000 and 12,000 is 9,000. That would mean that 21,000 Gazans had died of which 9,000 were Hamas et al. fighters and 12,000 were civilians. Either way, it’s approximately 12,000 civilians who have died. More recently Netanyahu said that at least 13,000 terrorists had been killed in Gaza, and Hamas said that a total of 31,000 had been killed. Hamas claimed that 72% are women and children. However, those under 18 are called “children” these days. So, even if this were accurate, it includes terrorists under 18 years of age. People do have the right of self-defense against child soldiers under the age of 18. More generally, the age of criminal responsibility in non-combat situations is 12 years old in Israel and Jordan and younger in some Muslim countries: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Age_of_criminal_responsibility
47.3% in Gaza are under 18, according to NPR. Births per woman are 3.38 https://www.npr.org/2023/10/19/1206479861/israel-gaza-hamas-children-population-war-palestinians

What are our non-mathematical numbers based on? The fact that these are merchant cultures where you negotiate price. And, how do you do that? You double and halve numbers to get what you want depending on if you are buying or selling. Thus, if the real number is 12,000 civilians, then they claim that it’s 24,000. Another unknown, however, is if Islamic Jihad fighters are included with the Hamas fighters figure given by Hamas. https://miningawareness.wordpress.com/2024/03/18/idf-counter-terrorism-operation-in-al-shifa-hospital-gaza-hamas-terrorism-coordinator-faiq-al-mabhouh-killed-newborns-evacuated-to-egypt/

Note that the region in general, and Gaza in particular, people are highly inbred. The main reason that they are now less inbred is apparently because they’ve had so many children for so many generations that they can now marry 3rd cousins instead of 1st and 2nd: “Consanguinity profile in the Gaza Strip of Palestine: Large-scale community-based study” Mahmoud M. Sirdah Biology Department, Al Azhar University-Gaza, PO Box 1277, Gaza, Palestine Received 31 October 2013, Accepted 14 January 2014, Available online 25 January 2014. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1769721214000214

Satirical video, which points to many truths:
“Gaza’s sky is black but Qatar is always sunny” https://youtu.be/OUMl58i4m0w

Disclaimer: The above is for general informational purposes. For any other purposes please double and triple check statistics and other information yourself.

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