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This is a crime that put lives in jeopardy. A wrong forecast can put people on the road in the wrong direction and in harms way from a hurricane. Already hurricane forecasting remains difficult.


Hurricane Dorian 10.06 EDT PM Sept 1 2019
Remember Dorian which was a Category 5 hurricane with wind gusts over 220 mph? Trump pretended that it was going to hit Alabama and a Trump operative at NOAA apparently offered cover for his lie.

Those who know something about hurricanes, and hurricane evacuations, recognize this as a dangerous crime that put lives in jeopardy. A wrong forecast can put people on the road in the wrong direction and in harms way from a hurricane. Already hurricane forecasting remains difficult. Attempting to confuse people in this way is pure and unadulterated evil.

The goal could have been to make people lose confidence in the National Weather Service in order to privatize it; to cause mass confusion, or other motives.

While wikipedia says the culprit is Trump’s Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross, it appears, based on a quick look at the emails, that the person covering for Trump is this woman Julie Kay Roberts who was appointed NOAA Director of communications and who served on Trump’s inaugural committee and on his campaign “Advance for VP Candidate”.

A few emails from the over one thousand pages of FOIA documents are found further below.

Remember the forecast on September 1st: “MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 185 MPH…295 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 MPH…7 KM/H
Wind Gusts over 220 mph
– Storm Surge 18 to 23 feet above normal tide levels with higher destructive waves

Donald J. Trump @ realDonaldTrump
In addition to Florida – South Carolina, North Carolina, Georgia, and Alabama, will most likely be hit (much) harder than anticipated. Looking like one of the largest hurricanes ever. Already category 5. BE CAREFUL! GOD BLESS EVERYONE! Sep 1, 2019

Julie Roberts, Commerce
Director of Communications $128,000
In August 2017, named the Director of Communications for NOAA.
Former Positions Outside Government
58th Presidential Inaugural Committee Deputy Director of Internal and Diplomatic Donald j. Trump for President Advance for Vice Presidential Candidate

See more information here: https://projects.propublica.org/trump-town/staffers/julie-roberts https://projects.propublica.org/trump-town/organizations/58th-presidential-inaugural-committee https://projects.propublica.org/trump-town/organizations/donald-j-trump-for-president-inc Working on the VP committee she may have a Paul Manafort connection.

Excerpts from the FOIA documents:

[page 37 of the FOIA documents]
From: ‘Julia Reinstein’ via _NWS PA
Date: Wed, Sep 4, 2019 at 2:41 PM
Subject: BuzzFeed News inquiry
Hi, I’m a reporter with BuzzFeed News. A hurricane forecast map President Trump displayed in the Oval
Office today appears to have a line drawn on to it, falsely showing Hurricane Dorian could possibly hit
Any comment on this?
It is illegal, under federal law, to pass off a falsified National Weather Service forecast as official. Can you comment on that?

Julia Reinstein | BuzzFeed News | Reporter @juliareinstein
111 East 18th St., NY, NY 10003

[p. 65] “From: NWS Communications Office – NOAA Service Account
Sent: Wednesday, September 4, 2019 6:00 PM
Subject: Fwd: Regarding Alabama and Hurricane Dorian
———- Forwarded message ———From: Sommerfeldt, Chris
Date: Wed, Sep 4, 2019 at 5:32 PM
Subject: Regarding Alabama and Hurricane Dorian
To: NWS.communications.office@noaa.gov
Good afternoon NOAA press team,
My name is Chris Sommerfeldt, I’m a reporter with the New York Daily News.
Earlier today in the Oval Office, President Trump displayed a NOAA forecast from Aug. 29 that appeared to have been doctored with a black line looping in Alabama into Hurricane Dorian’s path.
Is or was NOAA forecasting that Dorian could hit Alabama?
If not, can you confirm that the forecast the President displayed in the Oval Office today was not accurate?

Feel free to get back to me at (914) 559-xxxx.
All best,

[Page 67]
From: Julie Roberts – NOAA Federal
Sent: Thursday, September 5, 2019 4:42 PM
To: Maureen O’Leary – NOAA Federal; Christopher Vaccaro – NOAA Federal
Cc: Scott Smullen – NOAA Federal; _NWS PA; Dennis Feltgen – NOAA Federal; Katherine
Brogan – NOAA Federal; John Ewald – NOAA Federal; David P Miller – NOAA Federal
Subject: RE: New Tweet… w/ NHC products from last Thursday/Friday

Please do not give a phone number for any of us. I am at NRCC not in the box and Althea is only going to take a message. Please provide email address only for me and Chris. I am working to see if we can have a statement to confirm they are NOAA products.
Kindest regards,
Julie Kay Roberts, CEM
Deputy Chief of Staff
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
“You can tell a lot about a fellow’s character by his way of eating jelly beans.” President Ronald Reagan
From: Maureen O’Leary – NOAA Federal
Sent: Thursday, September 5, 2019 4:40 PM
To: Christopher Vaccaro – NOAA Federal
Cc: Julie Roberts – NOAA Federal ; Scott Smullen ; _NWS PA
; Dennis Feltgen ; Kate Brogan ; John
Ewald ; David Miller
Subject: Re: New Tweet… w/ NHC products from last Thursday/Friday
Jeoff from the Daily Mail just called me about this. He was given my number by NOAA COMMs HQ x6090.
I suggested he call Julie Roberts at x6090.
He will probably call NHC as he is looking for clarification on NHC maps.
– –
Maureen O’Leary
Deputy Director of Public Affairs
NOAA’s National Weather Service

[Page 72]
From: Christopher Vaccaro – NOAA Federal
Sent: Friday, September 6, 2019 4:52 PM
To: _NWS PA; Dennis Feltgen; Julie Roberts – NOAA Federal; Scott Smullen
Subject: Media guidance on Statement from NOAA
FYI… the following statement has been distributed. Inquiries should solely be direct to the office line 202-482-6090
———- Forwarded message ———From: NOAA Communications
Date: Fri, Sep 6, 2019 at 4:45 PM
Subject: Statement from NOAA
Statement attributable to a NOAA Spokesperson
September 6, 2019
From Wednesday, August 28, through Monday, September 2, the information provided by NOAA and the National Hurricane Center to President Trump and the wider public demonstrated that tropical-storm-force winds from Hurricane Dorian could impact Alabama. This is clearly demonstrated in Hurricane
Advisories #15 through #41, which can be viewed at the following link.
The Birmingham National Weather Service’s Sunday morning tweet spoke in absolute terms that were
inconsistent with probabilities from the best forecast products available at the time.
NOAA’s mission is to understand and predict changes in the Earth’s environment, from the depths of
the ocean to the surface of the sun, and to conserve and manage our coastal and marine resources.
Join us on Twitter, Facebook, Instagram and our other social media channels.

[p. 256]
From: Craig McLean – NOAA Federal
Sent: Saturday, September 7, 2019 8:28 PM
To: Neil Jacobs – NOAA Federal; Timothy Gallaudet – NOAA Federal; Stu Levenbach -NOAA Federal; Taylor Jordan – NOAA Federal; Benjamin Friedman; Louis Uccellini -NOAA Federal; Stephen Volz; Julie Roberts – NOAA Federal; Scott Smullen; Chris
Oliver – NOAA Federal; Nicole Le Boeuf – NOAA Federal
Subject: Alabama
For an agency founded upon and recognized for determining scientific truths, trusted by the public, and responsible in law to put forward important science information, I find it unconscionable that an anonymous voice inside of NOAA would be found to castigate a dutiful, correct, and loyal NWS Forecaster who spoke the truth. The science based information product that this Forecaster offered to the public afterunnecessary, unqualified, and confusing information was inappropriately distributed by unqualified parts ofthe Government, was to correct the misunderstanding and further safeguard the public from inaccurate information, and unnecessary alarm.
The best I can tell is that this press release is a product of the Public Affairs machinery. Please, please,don’t tell me that the quality review of the performance of the agency’s technical expertise of our scientists in NOAA including the National Weather Service Forecasters, will now reside in the hands of the PublicAffairs apparatus of either NOAA or the DOC. Remarkably, our forecaster signs his work. At least his critics should too.
What concerns me most is that this Administration is eroding the public trust in NOAA for an apparent political recovery from an ill timed and imprecise comment from the President. I hope that NOAA’s trust in
the public eye will outlast this Administration, but until then I harbor a great concern for all scientists,science missions, and the quality of our public communications about our research in that a spurious press release may accompany any future scientific conclusion, be it a weather forecast, a climate study, or anocean and fisheries forecast. This is an alarm bell that needs to sound inside the agency, around the false prophet of stewardship from the Department of Commerce, and outside the agency. Most important, is that our employees need to know that we stand for science, not politically motivated apologies.
This is a serious situation.
–Craig N. McLean

Assistant Administrator
Oceanic and Atmospheric Research
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
U.S. Department of Commerce
1315 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910

[page 85]
On Sep 8, 2019, at 12:28 AM, Gary Shigenaka – NOAA Federal wrote:
>> Dear Dr. Jacobs,
>> I am a 40-year NOAA scientist. Please address this crisis in moral leadership our agency is facing. I think you know very well what an incredible group of dedicated employees you have. Please reassure those of us who serve the public, and do so with commitment and humility that we are not mere pawns in an absurd game. Please do not allow the science and support that we perform on behalf of the American public to be tossed into the trash heap by political expediencies. Please support us and stand with us. Please.
>> With great respect,
>> gary shigenaka
>> Seattle, WA
>> –>> Gary Shigenaka
>> Senior Biologist
>> NOAA/Emergency Response Division
>> Seattle, WA

See originals and more here: https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/6749506-LEOPOLD-FOIA-NOAA-Hurricane-Dorian-Sharpie-Gate.html

Thank you Jason Leopold for uploading them: