Tags

, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Turkey Point Nuclear and Non-Nuclear Generating Stations sit out on Biscayne Bay on the tip of Florida, between Key Largo and Miami.

Is Turkey Point Nuclear Power Station shutdown to the extent that nuclear reactors can shutdown without fuel removal? It wasn’t as of Friday morning and the NRC doesn’t report on weekends so the public doesn’t know. They hadn’t even started reducing power by then. The US NRC estimates that it takes 8 hours to complete an orderly shutdown. See a more detailed description in bold, below our commentary.

The only nuclear power station which looks prepared for Hurricane Irma is Grand Gulf Nuclear Power Station on the Mississippi River, inland from the US Gulf Coast. And, since they were shutdown due to a defect, it’s not clear that they would be prepared either. The US NHC prediction of earliest arrival of tropical storm force winds was wrong. Notice their 11 am predictions and yet Miami Dade predicted tropical storm force winds at around the same time, along with possible tornados.


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/154304.shtml?mltoa34#contents. Tropical Storm Force Winds defined: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
Hurricane Irma at 1545 (345) UTC; i.e. 1145 AM EDT. Clearly the outer bands of Irma were there by 11 am.

…Significant Weather Advisory for 50 to 60 mph winds for northern
Miami-Dade County Until noon EDT…
* At 1119 AM EDT…Doppler radar was tracking a line of strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from near Key Biscayne to
Palmetto Bay…and moving west at 55 mph.

They can call them “strong thunderstorms” all they want but they are part of the huge outer band of Hurricane Irma.

[Update note: According to the Miami Herald, “FPL shuts down one nuclear reactor at Turkey Point” BY NANCY DAHLBERG, SEPTEMBER 09, 2017 1:49 PM. They started shutting one of the two Turkey Pt nuclear reactors down on Saturday morning. They plan to leave St. Lucie nuclear power station operating.]

Various models on Hurricane Irma still exist: https://www.sfwmd.gov/weather-radar/hurricane-model-plots The chart says to ignore them if they diverge from NHC warnings. Apparently, however, they haven’t gotten much better, if at all, in predicting hurricane landfall location, in all of the many decades since Hurricane Camille. Yet, conspiracy theorists want us to believe that they are smart enough to direct hurricanes where they want them to go! Meanwhile, since 1970 the US has let in approximately one million legal immigrants per year (with less than 10% needy refugees), which translates into more people and more housing infrastructure at risk from disaster, whether hurricanes, nuclear power accidents, earthquakes or some combination thereof. This is legal immigrants, even as there are fewer and fewer prospects for multi-generational Americans to be employed or enjoy a middle class lifestyle. Those who cry out for their rights because they’ve no other country to go to, get called racists, even though black Americans have been even more badly impacted by these policies than white Americans. In fact, many of the new immigrants benefit from the affirmative action policies meant to help black Americans whose ancestors had been victimized by slavery (and Jim Crow policies). Clearly, the international population dumping undertaken by the US government, starting in the late 1960s, was a racist policy meant to keep black Americans (and women) from benefitting from affirmative action. Those “lucky” enough to expat out get treated as unwanted immigrants abroad. Thus, they are treated as foreigners both within their own country and without, and get called racists to boot. Since 1970, the US population has ballooned by almost 60%: from 203,211,926 in 1970 to 324,700,000 in 2017, most due to immigration, since the birth rate of non-immigrants has been around replacement or less for some time. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demography_of_the_United_States The population in Miami Dade County, alone, has more than doubled since 1970, from 1.27 million to 2.7 million in July of 2016. Even comparatively underpopulated Mississippi has increased from 2.2 million when Camillie hit to almost 3 million today. http://www.miamidade.gov/planning/library/reports/2009-miami-dade-county-facts.pdf https://www.census.gov/quickfacts/fact/table/miamidadecountyflorida/POP060210. Meanwhile, Dick Cheney’s huge state of Wyoming has less than 600,000 people.

Below is from the US NRC, which takes most of its funding from the nuclear industry, and thus generally treats the nuclear utilities as the spoiled brats they are. So, when they say there’s a problem it is very, very bad. This is probably why the NRC hadn’t updated its blog since March. Apparently uproar about Hurricane Harvey and the South Texas Nuclear Power Station not shutting down resulted in their first post in half a year, where the public was assured that two South Florida Nuclear Power Stations would be shutdown. Below, however, is an excerpt from an older document about the problems admitted to for Hurricane Andrew: “Adequacy of Timing of Plant Shutdown in Anticipation of a Hurricane

Turkey Point procedures for timing of a plant shutdown in anticipation of a hurricane require that the plant be in at least Mode 4 (i.e., hot shutdown) 2 hours before the onset of hurricane-force winds at the site. Estimating 8 hours to complete an orderly shutdown, the licensee began a plant shutdown approximately 12 hours before the predicted landfall of the hurricane. As a result, both units were in Mode 4 when Hurricane Andrew struck. However, the licensee commitments in response to the station blackout rule only require the licensee to commence shutdown at least 2 hours before the onset of hurricane-force winds. Therefore, starting a plant shutdown strictly in accordance with the licensee commitments could have resulted in the plant being in the midst of a dual-unit shutdown when offsite power was lost. Additionally, at Turkey Point (and at other commercial reactors susceptible to hurricane damage), important equipment (e.g., auxiliary feedwater) is located outside and likely would not be accessible during a hurricane.” https://www.nrc.gov/reading-rm/doc-collections/gen-comm/info-notices/1993/in93053.html

[Blog Update with NHC 4 pm EDT update:
000
WTNT61 KNHC 091957 TCUAT1
Hurricane Irma Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017
400 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2017
…400 PM EDT POSITION UPDATE…
…WINDS BEGINNING TO INCREASE IN THE KEYS AND THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA…
Molasses Reef recently reported sustained winds of 49 mph (79 km/h)
with a gust to 56 mph (90 km/h). Marathon recently reported
sustained winds of 41 mph (66 km/h) with a gust to 55 mph (89 km/h).
SUMMARY OF 400 PM EDT…2000 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…23.3N 80.4W
ABOUT 125 MI…205 KM SE OF KEY WEST FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…125 MPH…205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH…15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…938 MB…27.70 INCHES
Forecaster Pasch/Onderlinde
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCUAT1+shtml/091957.shtml

NHC 12 PM EDT:
ZCZC MIATCUAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Hurricane Irma Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017
1200 PM EDT Sat Sep 09 2017

…1200 PM EDT POSITION UPDATE…
…IRMA MOVING NEAR THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA …

SUMMARY OF 0400 AM AST…0800 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…22.9N 79.9 W
ABOUT 85 MI…135 KM ESE of Varadero Cuba
ABOUT 170 MI…270 KM SE of Key West, Florida
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…125 MPH…205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 MPH…15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…941 MB…27.79 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Pasch/Mello

NNNNhttp://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCUAT1+shtml/091558.shtml

Special Weather Statement
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Miami FL
1119 AM EDT SAT SEP 9 2017

FLZ073-074-173-091600-
Metropolitan Miami Dade FL-Inland Miami-Dade County FL-
Coastal Miami Dade County FL-
1119 AM EDT SAT SEP 9 2017

…Significant Weather Advisory for 50 to 60 mph winds for northern
Miami-Dade County Until noon EDT…

* At 1119 AM EDT…Doppler radar was tracking a line of strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from near Key Biscayne to
Palmetto Bay…and moving west at 55 mph.

* The primary impacts will be gusty winds of 50 to 60 mph. These
winds can down small tree limbs and branches, and blow around
unsecured small objects. Seek shelter in a safe building until the
storm passes.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
Miami, Coral Gables, Key Biscayne, South Miami, Black Point,
Homestead General Airport, The Redland, Kendall, Pinecrest,
Sweetwater, West Miami, Westchester, Naranja, Glenvar Heights,
Palmetto Bay, University Of Miami, Fortymile Bend, Zoo Miami,
Goulds and Coral Terrace.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

Funnel clouds occasionally touch down and produce tornadoes. Move
indoors and stay away from windows.

&&

LAT…LON 2568 8007 2552 8021 2547 8086 2584 8084
2571 8007
TIME…MOT…LOC 1519Z 095DEG 47KT 2568 8018 2560 8030

$$

Gregoriahttp://marine.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=AMZ630&warncounty=marine&firewxzone=&local_place1=3NM%20NE%20Black%20Point%20FL&product1=Hurricane+Warning&lat=25.5785&lon=-80.2751#.WbQLsNFOmfA