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How much longer will the world ignore the warnings of this brave and honourable expert-professor regarding the risks of nuclear disaster in the context of earthquake hazard? Dr. Ishibashi warned of the dangers in 2003, served on a Japanese government subcommittee responsible for revising guidelines on the earthquake resistance of nuclear reactors, in 2006, and was ignored. He resigned in protest. The world could have been spared the Tepco-Fukushima disaster, had his warnings been heeded. (See his Wikipedia biography at the end of this post).
As Dr. Ishibashi warns us, this grave danger is not restricted to Japan. And, nuclear disaster in Japan impacts the entire world:
Emphasis added. A pdf copy of the original abstract is available here: http://historical.seismology.jp/ishibashi/opinion/0307IUGG_Genpatsu_Abstract.pdf and here: http://radio.rcdc.it/wp-content/uploads/terremoto_Abstract.pdf
Pale blue emphasis and underlining added by us, to an already colourful original. A pdf copy of the original presentation may be found here: http://historical.seismology.jp/ishibashi/opinion/0307IUGG_slides.pdf
About the author, from Wikipedia (Emphasis Added):
“Katsuhiko Ishibashi (石橋 克彦 Ishibashi Katsuhiko, born August 8, 1944) is a professor in the Research Center for Urban Safety and Security in the Graduate School of Science at Kobe University, Japan and a seismologist who has written extensively in the areas of seismicity and seismotectonics in and around the Japanese Islands. He recently coined the term genpatsu-shinsai (原発震災), from the Japanese words for “nuclear power” and “quake disaster”.
Katsuhiko Ishibashi has said that Japan’s history of nuclear accidents stems from an overconfidence in plant engineering. He was a member of a 2006 Japanese government subcommittee charged with revising the national guidelines on the earthquake-resistance of nuclear power plants, published in 2007. His proposal that the committee should review the standards for surveying active faults was rejected and, at the committee’s final meeting he resigned claiming that the review process was “unscientific“ and the outcome rigged to suit the interests of the Japan Electric Association, which had 11 of its committee members on the 19-member government subcommittee and that among other problems the guide was “seriously flawed” as a consequence because it underestimated the design basis earthquake ground motion.
In May 2011, he said: “If Japan had faced up to the dangers earlier, we could have prevented Fukushima“.
Ishibashi, K., “Why worry? Japan’s nuclear plants at grave risk from quake damage”, International Herald Tribune and The Asia-Pacific Journal: Japan Focus (August 11, 2007)
Ishibashi, K., “Status of historical seismology in Japan”, Annals of Geophysics’, Vol.47, 339-368 (2004)
Ishibashi, K., “Seismotectonic modeling of the repeating M 7-class disastrous Odawara earthquake in the Izu collision zone, central Japan”, Earth Planets Space, Vol.56, 843-858 (2004)
Miyoshi, T. and K. Ishibashi, “Geometry of the seismic Philippine Sea slab beneath the region from Ise Bay to western Shikoku, southwest Japan, Zisin” J. Seismol. Soc. Japan, Ser. 2, Vol.57, 139-152 (English abstract) (2004) (Japanese)
Itani, Y. and Ishibashi, K., “Horizontal crustal strain in the Izu Peninsula – Mt. Fuji region derived from GEONET data and its tectonic implication, Zisin”, J. Seismol. Soc. Japan, Ser. 2, Vol.56, 231-243 (English abstract) (2003) (Japanese)
Harada, T. and Ishibashi, K., “The 1958 great Etorofu earthquake was a slab event: Suggestion from the mainshock-aftershock relocation”, EOS, Vol. 81, No. 22 Suppl. WP157 (2000)
Ishibashi, K., An Era of Underground Convulsions: A Seismologist Warns, Iwanami Paperbacks, Iwanami Shoten (1994) (Japanese)
1. Katsuhiko ISHIBASHI Kobe University staff list. March 24, 2011
2. Katsuhiko Ishibashi, “Why worry? Japan’s nuclear plants at grave risk from quake damage” The Asia-Pacific Journal: Japan Focus (August 11, 2007) Also published by the International Herald Tribune (August 11, 2007). Retrieved March 24, 2011
3. Michael Reilly, “Insight: Where not to build nuclear power stations” (preview only) New Scientist (July 28, 2007). Retrieved March 24, 2011 (subscription required)
4.a b “Quake shuts world’s largest nuclear plant” Nature, vol 448, 392-393, doi:10.1038/448392a, (July 25, 2007) Retrieved March 18, 2011
5. Jason Clenfield (March 17, 2011). “Japan Nuclear Disaster Caps Decades of Faked Reports, Accidents”. Bloomberg Businessweek.
6. a b “Japan Nuclear Energy Drive Compromised by Conflicts of Interest” Bloomberg, published 2007-12-12, accessed 2011-04-11
7. Katsuhiko Ishibashi, “Why worry? Japan’s nuclear plants at grave risk from quake damage” The Asia-Pacific Journal: Japan Focus (August 11, 2007) Also published by the International Herald Tribune (August 11, 2007). Retrieved March 24, 2011
8. Hiroko Tabuchi (6 May 2011). “Japan Asks Another Nuclear Plant to Shut Down Its Reactors”. The New York Times. Retrieved July 9, 2011.
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Article accessed by us on 6 May 2014